SVM

Before moving forward with the to-do list, let’s throw a Random Forest to it.

SVM

For many reasons, Random Forest is usually a very good baseline model. In this particular case I started with the polynomial OLS as baseline model, just because it was so evident from the correlations that the relationship between temperature and consumption follows a polynomial shape. But let’s go back to a beloved RF.

/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning:

The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.

/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning:

Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.

Model Cards provide a framework for transparent, responsible reporting. 
 Use the vetiver `.qmd` Quarto template as a place to start, 
 with vetiver.model_card()
Writing pin:
Name: 'wd-svm'
Version: 20241227T103012Z-22525

<vetiver.vetiver_model.VetiverModel at 0x7f9bd3ea8a60>

/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning:

The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.

/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning:

Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.

Metrics

Plot

Table

	Single Split		CV
	train	test	test	train
MAE - Mean Absolute Error	2.503967	1.945576	2.338365	3.213395
MSE - Mean Squared Error	16.071544	14.745735	10.481045	22.165430
RMSE - Root Mean Squared Error	4.008933	3.840018	3.069173	4.670569
R2 - Coefficient of Determination	0.828660	0.812184	-3.977623	0.773938
MAPE - Mean Absolute Percentage Error	0.242325	0.237181	0.468978	0.259153
EVS - Explained Variance Score	0.829054	0.812667	-0.702773	0.827588
MeAE - Median Absolute Error	1.699363	1.296015	1.860291	2.419142
D2 - D2 Absolute Error Score	0.646859	0.686970	-1.031617	0.542219
Pinball - Mean Pinball Loss	1.251983	0.972788	1.169183	1.606698

Scatter plot matrix

Test

Train

Observed vs. Predicted and Residuals vs. Predicted

Check for …

check the residuals to assess the goodness of fit.

• white noise or is there a pattern?
• heteroscedasticity?
• non-linearity?

Test

Train

Normality of Residuals:

Check for …

• Are residuals normally distributed?

Test

Train

Test

Train

Leverage

Test

Train

Scale-Location plot

Test

Train

Residuals Autocorrelation Plot

Test

Train

Residuals vs Time

Test

Train

Well, not that bad, but it is overfitting quite a lot.

/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
  warnings.warn(
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.
Model Cards provide a framework for transparent, responsible reporting. 
 Use the vetiver `.qmd` Quarto template as a place to start, 
 with vetiver.model_card()
Writing pin:
Name: 'wd-svm'
Version: 20241227T103019Z-2986e

{'vars__columns': ['tt_tu_mean', 'vp_std_mean', 'tf_std_mean']}

/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_classes.py:31: FutureWarning: The default value of `dual` will change from `True` to `'auto'` in 1.5. Set the value of `dual` explicitly to suppress the warning.
/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/sklearn/svm/_base.py:1237: ConvergenceWarning: Liblinear failed to converge, increase the number of iterations.

Metrics

Plot

Table

	Single Split		CV
	train	test	test	train
MAE - Mean Absolute Error	2.474604	2.038231	2.491087	2.578169
MSE - Mean Squared Error	15.616252	15.409785	9.554578	17.420451
RMSE - Root Mean Squared Error	3.951740	3.925530	3.023607	4.172257
R2 - Coefficient of Determination	0.833513	0.803726	-5.191676	0.821749
MAPE - Mean Absolute Percentage Error	0.198074	0.193177	0.539748	0.188655
EVS - Explained Variance Score	0.839620	0.831872	-0.548144	0.823558
MeAE - Median Absolute Error	1.701354	1.475044	2.251338	1.662818
D2 - D2 Absolute Error Score	0.651000	0.672063	-1.256030	0.632962
Pinball - Mean Pinball Loss	1.237302	1.019116	1.245543	1.289084

Scatter plot matrix

Test

Train

Observed vs. Predicted and Residuals vs. Predicted

Check for …

check the residuals to assess the goodness of fit.

• white noise or is there a pattern?
• heteroscedasticity?
• non-linearity?

Test

Train

Normality of Residuals:

Check for …

• Are residuals normally distributed?

Test

Train

Test

Train

Leverage

Test

Train

Scale-Location plot

Test

Train

Residuals Autocorrelation Plot

Test

Train

Residuals vs Time

Test

Train

TODOs